Welterweight
3 Rounds
Kevin Holland won · SUB R2
UFC Event·Saturday, June 18, 2022·Austin, Texas, USA, USA
Style matchupTim Means: Pressure fightervsKevin Holland: Well-rounded
The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.
Model Prediction: Kevin Holland wins(50.8%)
Actual result: Kevin Holland wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Kevin Holland threatens submissions; Tim Means has lost 43% of fights by sub.
- Tim Means has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Kevin Holland has a 15cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Tim Means
Red Corner
VS
Kevin Holland
Blue Corner
+280
(26%)
Vegas Odds
-340
(77%)
42
Age
33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'2"
Height
6'3"
190.5 cm
Reach
205.74 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Tim MeansL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Max Griffin · Oct 22L
SUBvs Alex Morono · May 23W
KOvs Andre Fialho · Sep 23L
KOvs Uros Medic · Apr 24L
SUBvs Court McGee · Oct 24Kevin HollandL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Reinier de Ridder · Jan 25W
vs Gunnar Nelson · Mar 25W
SUBvs Vicente Luque · Jun 25L
vs Daniel Rodriguez · Jul 25L
vs Mike Malott · Oct 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Tim MeansMetricKevin Holland
5.04
Strikes / min
4.24
3.65
Strikes absorbed / min
3.21
60%
Strike defense
50%
1.14
TDs / 15 min
0.79
64%
Takedown defense
57%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.39evenly matched on net striking+1.03
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Tim MeansKevin Holland
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Tim Means(10 fights)Kevin Holland(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-10.010.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+252.0-252.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.5-1.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
Tim Means
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights29
Kevin Holland
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach81.0"
Fights27