Welterweight
3 Rounds
Tim Means won
UFC Event·Saturday, August 8, 2020·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Tim Means wins(72.7%)
Actual result: Tim Means wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Laureano Staropoli enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Tim Means has 16pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Tim Means has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Tim Means
Red Corner
VS
Laureano Staropoli
Blue Corner
+120
(45%)
Vegas Odds
-150
(60%)
42
Age
33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'2"
Height
6'1"
190.5 cm
Reach
180.34 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Tim MeansL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Max Griffin · Oct 22L
SUBvs Alex Morono · May 23W
KOvs Andre Fialho · Sep 23L
KOvs Uros Medic · Apr 24L
SUBvs Court McGee · Oct 24Laureano StaropoliL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Hector Aldana · Nov 18W
vs Thiago Alves · May 19L
vs Muslim Salikhov · Oct 19L
vs Roman Dolidze · Jun 21L
vs Jamie Pickett · Oct 21Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Tim MeansMetricLaureano Staropoli
5.04
Strikes / min
3.31
3.65
Strikes absorbed / min
3.73
60%
Strike defense
54%
1.14
TDs / 15 min
0.83
64%
Takedown defense
48%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.39Δ 1.81 — meaningful gap-0.42
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Tim MeansLaureano Staropoli
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Tim Means(10 fights)Laureano Staropoli(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+4.3-4.3
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-112.0112.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.5-0.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Tim Means
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights29
Laureano Staropoli
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights6