Welterweight
3 Rounds
Max Griffin won · S-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, October 29, 2022·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupTim Means: Pressure fightervsMax Griffin: Well-rounded
The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.
Model Prediction: Max Griffin wins(52.5%)
Actual result: Max Griffin wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Tale of the Tape
Tim Means
Red Corner
VS
Max Griffin
Blue Corner
+160
(38%)
Vegas Odds
-190
(66%)
42
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'2"
Height
5'11"
190.5 cm
Reach
193.04 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Tim MeansL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Kevin Holland · Jun 22L
SUBvs Alex Morono · May 23W
KOvs Andre Fialho · Sep 23L
KOvs Uros Medic · Apr 24L
SUBvs Court McGee · Oct 24Max GriffinL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Neil Magny · Mar 22L
vs Michael Morales · Jul 23W
vs Jeremiah Wells · Feb 24L
SUBvs Michael Chiesa · Dec 24L
vs Chris Curtis · Jul 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Tim MeansMetricMax Griffin
5.04
Strikes / min
3.70
3.65
Strikes absorbed / min
3.69
60%
Strike defense
58%
1.14
TDs / 15 min
1.44
64%
Takedown defense
69%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.39Δ 1.38 — meaningful gap+0.01
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Tim MeansMax Griffin
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Tim Means(10 fights)Max Griffin(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+43.5-43.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-84.084.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.2-1.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
Tim Means
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights29
Max Griffin
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights18