Welterweight
3 Rounds
Tim Means won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, June 26, 2021·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupTim Means: Pressure fightervsNicolas Dalby: Well-rounded
The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.
Model Prediction: Tim Means wins(63.3%)
Actual result: Tim Means wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Tale of the Tape
Tim Means
Red Corner
VS
Nicolas Dalby
Blue Corner
-143
(59%)
Vegas Odds
+113
(47%)
42
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'2"
Height
5'11"
190.5 cm
Reach
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Tim MeansL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Max Griffin · Oct 22L
SUBvs Alex Morono · May 23W
KOvs Andre Fialho · Sep 23L
KOvs Uros Medic · Apr 24L
SUBvs Court McGee · Oct 24Nicolas Dalby
oldest →latest
W
vs Muslim Salikhov · Jun 23W
KOvs Gabriel Bonfim · Nov 23L
vs Rinat Fakhretdinov · Jun 24L
KOvs Randy Brown · Apr 25W
vs Saygid Izagakhmaev · Nov 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Tim MeansMetricNicolas Dalby
5.04
Strikes / min
3.88
3.65
Strikes absorbed / min
3.51
60%
Strike defense
52%
1.14
TDs / 15 min
0.90
64%
Takedown defense
59%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.39Δ 1.02 — meaningful gap+0.37
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Tim MeansNicolas Dalby
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Tim Means(10 fights)Nicolas Dalby(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+51.3-51.3
RedLayoff (days)Blue
0.00.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.0-1.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
Tim Means
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights29
Nicolas Dalby
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights14