Welterweight
3 Rounds
Niko Price won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, March 9, 2019·Wichita, Kansas, USA, USA
Style matchupTim Means: Pressure fightervsNiko Price: Pressure fighter
Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.
Model Prediction: Tim Means wins(60.0%)
Actual result: Niko Price wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Niko Price enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Tim Means has 12pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Tale of the Tape
Tim Means
Red Corner
VS
Niko Price
Blue Corner
-210
(68%)
Vegas Odds
+175
(36%)
42
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'2"
Height
6'0"
190.5 cm
Reach
193.04 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Tim MeansL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Max Griffin · Oct 22L
SUBvs Alex Morono · May 23W
KOvs Andre Fialho · Sep 23L
KOvs Uros Medic · Apr 24L
SUBvs Court McGee · Oct 24Niko PriceL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Alex Morono · Jun 24L
vs Themba Gorimbo · Oct 24L
SUBvs Jacobe Smith · Jun 25L
KOvs Nikolay Veretennikov · Feb 26L
SUBvs Michael Chiesa · Mar 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Tim MeansMetricNiko Price
5.04
Strikes / min
5.11
3.65
Strikes absorbed / min
5.57
60%
Strike defense
48%
1.14
TDs / 15 min
1.06
64%
Takedown defense
50%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.39Δ 1.85 — meaningful gap-0.46
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Tim MeansNiko Price
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Tim Means(10 fights)Niko Price(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+7.3-7.3
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-83.083.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+2.0-2.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
Tim Means
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights29
Niko Price
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights19