Featherweight
3 Rounds
Lucas Almeida won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, June 15, 2024·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupTimmy Cuamba: Well-roundedvsLucas Almeida: Pressure fighter
The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.
Model Prediction: Timmy Cuamba wins(77.4%)
Actual result: Lucas Almeida wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Lucas Almeida enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Timmy Cuamba is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Lucas Almeida has lost 50% of fights by KO.
- Timmy Cuamba has 13pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Timmy Cuamba has 19pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Timmy Cuamba
Red Corner
VS
Lucas Almeida
Blue Corner
-198
(66%)
Vegas Odds
+164
(38%)
27
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
5'11"
180.34 cm
Reach
180.34 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Timmy CuambaW2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Bolaji Oki · Feb 24W
KOvs Roberto Romero · Apr 25W
vs ChangHo Lee · Nov 25Lucas AlmeidaL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Michael Trizano · Jun 22L
SUBvs Pat Sabatini · Jun 23L
KOvs Andre Fili · Dec 23L
vs Danny Silva · Mar 25L
KOvs Michael Aswell Jr. · Oct 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Timmy CuambaMetricLucas Almeida
2.77
Strikes / min
4.94
3.58
Strikes absorbed / min
5.36
57%
Strike defense
44%
1.31
TDs / 15 min
0.00
72%
Takedown defense
53%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.81evenly matched on net striking-0.42
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Timmy CuambaLucas Almeida
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Timmy Cuamba(4 fights)Lucas Almeida(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-5.35.3
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-56.056.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
Timmy Cuamba
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights4
Lucas Almeida
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights6