Featherweight
3 Rounds
Danny Chavez won · U-DEC
UFC Event·Saturday, August 15, 2020·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupTJ Brown: WrestlervsDanny Chavez: Well-rounded
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: TJ Brown wins(59.4%)
Actual result: Danny Chavez wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Danny Chavez has 51pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors TJ Brown (52.9%).
- TJ Brown has a 13cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
TJ Brown
Red Corner
VS
Danny Chavez
Blue Corner
-167
(63%)
Vegas Odds
+130
(43%)
35
Age
39
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
5'8"
182.88 cm
Reach
170.18 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
TJ BrownL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Charles Rosa · Jan 22L
vs Shayilan Nuerdanbieke · Jun 22W
SUBvs Erik Silva · Dec 22L
SUBvs Bill Algeo · Apr 23L
SUBvs Darren Elkins · Oct 23Danny ChavezL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Jared Gordon · Feb 21L
KOvs Ricardo Ramos · Jun 22Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
TJ BrownMetricDanny Chavez
3.37
Strikes / min
2.86
2.89
Strikes absorbed / min
3.83
49%
Strike defense
50%
3.41
TDs / 15 min
1.95
36%
Takedown defense
87%
1.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.48Δ 1.45 — meaningful gap-0.97
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
TJ BrownDanny Chavez
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
TJ Brown(8 fights)Danny Chavez(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-17.417.4
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.01.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-49.649.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.049.0
TJ Brown
StanceSwitch
Height69.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights8
Danny Chavez
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights3