Featherweight
3 Rounds
TJ Brown won · SUB R3
UFC Event·Saturday, December 10, 2022·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupTJ Brown: WrestlervsErik Silva: Wrestler
Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.
Model Prediction: Erik Silva wins(56.5%)
Actual result: TJ Brown wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- TJ Brown enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Erik Silva has 24pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors TJ Brown (52.9%).
Tale of the Tape
TJ Brown
Red Corner
VS
Erik Silva
Blue Corner
-120
(55%)
Vegas Odds
+100
(50%)
35
Age
39
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
5'9"
182.88 cm
Reach
180.34 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
TJ BrownL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Kai Kamaka · May 21W
vs Charles Rosa · Jan 22L
vs Shayilan Nuerdanbieke · Jun 22L
SUBvs Bill Algeo · Apr 23L
SUBvs Darren Elkins · Oct 23Erik SilvaL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Muhammad Naimov · Feb 24L
SUBvs Francis Marshall · Feb 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
TJ BrownMetricErik Silva
3.37
Strikes / min
2.06
2.89
Strikes absorbed / min
1.52
49%
Strike defense
40%
3.41
TDs / 15 min
3.26
36%
Takedown defense
60%
1.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.48evenly matched on net striking+0.54
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
TJ BrownErik Silva
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
TJ Brown(8 fights)Erik Silva(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-13.213.2
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-49.649.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.149.1
TJ Brown
StanceSwitch
Height69.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights8
Erik Silva
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights3