Bantamweight
3 Rounds
TJ Dillashaw won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, July 9, 2016·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupTJ Dillashaw: Well-roundedvsRaphael Assuncao: Well-rounded
Well-rounded vs well-rounded. Usually decided by who imposes their gameplan first.
Model Prediction: TJ Dillashaw wins(60.2%)
Actual result: TJ Dillashaw wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Tale of the Tape
TJ Dillashaw
Red Corner
VS
Raphael Assuncao
Blue Corner
-420
(81%)
Vegas Odds
+335
(23%)
40
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'6"
Height
5'5"
170.18 cm
Reach
167.64 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
TJ Dillashaw
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Cody Garbrandt · Nov 17W
KOvs Cody Garbrandt · Aug 18L
KOvs Henry Cejudo · Jan 19W
vs Cory Sandhagen · Jul 21L
KOvs Aljamain Sterling · Oct 22Raphael Assuncao
oldest →latest
L
vs Cory Sandhagen · Aug 19L
KOvs Cody Garbrandt · Jun 20L
KOvs Ricky Simon · Dec 21W
vs Victor Henry · Oct 22L
SUBvs Davey Grant · Mar 23Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
TJ DillashawMetricRaphael Assuncao
5.09
Strikes / min
3.22
3.47
Strikes absorbed / min
2.50
62%
Strike defense
66%
1.56
TDs / 15 min
1.65
77%
Takedown defense
78%
0.80
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.62evenly matched on net striking+0.72
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
TJ DillashawRaphael Assuncao
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
TJ Dillashaw(10 fights)Raphael Assuncao(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-15.115.1
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-470.0470.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.90.9
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
TJ Dillashaw
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights18
Raphael Assuncao
StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach66.0"
Fights19