Bantamweight
5 Rounds
🏆 Title Bout
TJ Dillashaw won · KO/TKO R4
UFC Event·Saturday, July 25, 2015·Chicago, Illinois, USA, USA
Style matchupTJ Dillashaw: Well-roundedvsRenan Barao: Well-rounded
Well-rounded vs well-rounded. Usually decided by who imposes their gameplan first.
Model Prediction: TJ Dillashaw wins(57.8%)
Actual result: TJ Dillashaw wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Renan Barao enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
Tale of the Tape
TJ Dillashaw
Red Corner
VS
Renan Barao
Blue Corner
-200
(67%)
Vegas Odds
+170
(37%)
40
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'6"
Height
5'6"
170.18 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
TJ Dillashaw
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Cody Garbrandt · Nov 17W
KOvs Cody Garbrandt · Aug 18L
KOvs Henry Cejudo · Jan 19W
vs Cory Sandhagen · Jul 21L
KOvs Aljamain Sterling · Oct 22Renan BaraoL5 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Aljamain Sterling · Jul 17L
vs Brian Kelleher · Feb 18L
vs Andre Ewell · Sep 18L
KOvs Luke Sanders · Feb 19L
vs Douglas Silva de Andrade · Nov 19Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
TJ DillashawMetricRenan Barao
5.09
Strikes / min
3.78
3.47
Strikes absorbed / min
3.90
62%
Strike defense
57%
1.56
TDs / 15 min
1.49
77%
Takedown defense
91%
0.80
Sub atts / 15 min
0.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.62Δ 1.74 — meaningful gap-0.12
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
TJ DillashawRenan Barao
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
TJ Dillashaw(10 fights)Renan Barao(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-22.322.3
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+112.0-112.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-1.21.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
TJ Dillashaw
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights18
Renan Barao
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights17