Bantamweight
3 Rounds
TJ Dillashaw won · SUB R1
UFC Event·Wednesday, July 11, 2012·San Jose, California, USA, USA
Style matchupTJ Dillashaw: Well-roundedvsVaughan Lee: Submission grappler
Well-rounded fighters can dictate where this happens. The grappler needs scrambles to find their entries.
Model Prediction: TJ Dillashaw wins(50.7%)
Actual result: TJ Dillashaw wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Tale of the Tape
TJ Dillashaw
Red Corner
VS
Vaughan Lee
Blue Corner
-415
(81%)
Vegas Odds
+370
(21%)
40
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'6"
Height
5'6"
170.18 cm
Reach
167.64 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
TJ Dillashaw
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Cody Garbrandt · Nov 17W
KOvs Cody Garbrandt · Aug 18L
KOvs Henry Cejudo · Jan 19W
vs Cory Sandhagen · Jul 21L
KOvs Aljamain Sterling · Oct 22Vaughan LeeL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Motonobu Tezuka · Feb 13L
SUBvs Raphael Assuncao · Jun 13W
vs Nam Phan · Mar 14L
KOvs Iuri Alcantara · May 14L
vs Paddy Holohan · Jul 15Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
TJ DillashawMetricVaughan Lee
5.09
Strikes / min
3.47
3.47
Strikes absorbed / min
2.07
62%
Strike defense
70%
1.56
TDs / 15 min
0.81
77%
Takedown defense
72%
0.80
Sub atts / 15 min
1.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.62evenly matched on net striking+1.40
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
TJ DillashawVaughan Lee
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
TJ Dillashaw(10 fights)Vaughan Lee(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+1.4-1.4
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+10.0-10.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-1.01.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.50.5
TJ Dillashaw
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights18
Vaughan Lee
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach66.0"
Fights8