Bantamweight
3 Rounds
TJ Dillashaw won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Wednesday, February 15, 2012·Omaha, Nebraska, USA, USA
Model Prediction: TJ Dillashaw wins(71.8%)
Actual result: TJ Dillashaw wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Walel Watson is a KO finisher (100% of wins). TJ Dillashaw has lost 60% of fights by KO.
- TJ Dillashaw has 19pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- TJ Dillashaw has 16pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Walel Watson has a 20cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
TJ Dillashaw
Red Corner
VS
Walel Watson
Blue Corner
-255
(72%)
Vegas Odds
+235
(30%)
40
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'6"
Height
5'11"
170.18 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
TJ Dillashaw
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Cody Garbrandt · Nov 17W
KOvs Cody Garbrandt · Aug 18L
KOvs Henry Cejudo · Jan 19W
vs Cory Sandhagen · Jul 21L
KOvs Aljamain Sterling · Oct 22Walel WatsonL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Joseph Sandoval · Oct 11L
vs Yves Jabouin · Dec 11L
SUBvs Mitch Gagnon · Sep 12Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
TJ DillashawMetricWalel Watson
5.09
Strikes / min
2.10
3.47
Strikes absorbed / min
3.79
62%
Strike defense
43%
1.56
TDs / 15 min
0.00
77%
Takedown defense
61%
0.80
Sub atts / 15 min
1.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.62Δ 3.31 — meaningful gap-1.69
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
TJ DillashawWalel Watson
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
TJ Dillashaw(10 fights)Walel Watson(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-15.315.3
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+7.0-7.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.90.9
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.40.4
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
TJ Dillashaw
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights18
Walel Watson
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights4