Welterweight
3 Rounds
Johny Hendricks won · M-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, May 8, 2010·Montreal, Quebec, Canada, Canada
Model Prediction: TJ Grant wins(54.5%)
Actual result: Johny Hendricks wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- TJ Grant enters on a 5-fight win streak.
- Johny Hendricks has 27pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Johny Hendricks (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
TJ Grant
Red Corner
VS
Johny Hendricks
Blue Corner
+325
(24%)
Vegas Odds
-400
(80%)
42
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'10"
Height
5'9"
182.88 cm
Reach
175.26 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
TJ GrantW5 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Shane Roller · Oct 11W
vs Carlo Prater · May 12W
vs Evan Dunham · Sep 12W
KOvs Matt Wiman · Jan 13W
KOvs Gray Maynard · May 13Johny HendricksL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Kelvin Gastelum · Jul 16L
vs Neil Magny · Dec 16W
vs Hector Lombard · Feb 17L
KOvs Tim Boetsch · Jun 17L
KOvs Paulo Costa · Nov 17Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
TJ GrantMetricJohny Hendricks
3.95
Strikes / min
3.49
3.21
Strikes absorbed / min
3.99
56%
Strike defense
53%
1.63
TDs / 15 min
3.83
36%
Takedown defense
63%
0.60
Sub atts / 15 min
0.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.74Δ 1.24 — meaningful gap-0.50
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
TJ GrantJohny Hendricks
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
TJ Grant(8 fights)Johny Hendricks(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
0.00.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
TJ Grant
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights8
Johny Hendricks
StanceSouthpaw
Height69.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights19