Lightweight
3 Rounds
TJ Grant won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, January 26, 2013·Chicago, Illinois, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Matt Wiman wins(56.1%)
Actual result: TJ Grant wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- TJ Grant enters on a 4-fight win streak.
- Matt Wiman enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Matt Wiman has 20pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- TJ Grant has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
TJ Grant
Red Corner
VS
Matt Wiman
Blue Corner
-185
(65%)
Vegas Odds
+170
(37%)
42
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
5'10"
182.88 cm
Reach
172.72 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
TJ GrantW4 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Ricardo Almeida · Dec 10W
SUBvs Shane Roller · Oct 11W
vs Carlo Prater · May 12W
vs Evan Dunham · Sep 12W
KOvs Gray Maynard · May 13Matt WimanL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Paul Sass · Sep 12W
vs Isaac Vallie-Flagg · Nov 14L
KOvs Luis Pena · Jun 19L
vs Joe Solecki · Dec 19L
KOvs Jordan Leavitt · Dec 20Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
TJ GrantMetricMatt Wiman
3.95
Strikes / min
3.17
3.21
Strikes absorbed / min
3.57
56%
Strike defense
51%
1.63
TDs / 15 min
2.13
36%
Takedown defense
56%
0.60
Sub atts / 15 min
1.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.74Δ 1.14 — meaningful gap-0.40
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
TJ GrantMatt Wiman
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
TJ Grant(8 fights)Matt Wiman(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-16.516.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+7.0-7.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
TJ Grant
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights8
Matt Wiman
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights10