Welterweight
3 Rounds
Adlan Amagov won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, October 19, 2013·Houston, Texas, USA, USA
Style matchupTJ Waldburger: WrestlervsAdlan Amagov: Wrestler
Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.
Model Prediction: TJ Waldburger wins(65.5%)
Actual result: Adlan Amagov wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Adlan Amagov is a KO finisher (50% of wins). TJ Waldburger has lost 75% of fights by KO.
- Adlan Amagov has 38pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Adlan Amagov has 60pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
TJ Waldburger
Red Corner
VS
Adlan Amagov
Blue Corner
+175
(36%)
Vegas Odds
-190
(66%)
38
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'11"
Height
6'2"
190.5 cm
Reach
193.04 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
TJ Waldburger
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Mike Stumpf · Sep 11W
SUBvs Jake Hecht · Mar 12L
vs Brian Ebersole · Jun 12W
SUBvs Nick Catone · Dec 12L
KOvs Mike Pyle · Feb 14Adlan Amagov
oldest →latest
W
vs Chris Spang · Apr 13Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
TJ WaldburgerMetricAdlan Amagov
2.02
Strikes / min
3.29
2.39
Strikes absorbed / min
0.82
40%
Strike defense
78%
3.03
TDs / 15 min
5.84
40%
Takedown defense
100%
4.80
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.37Δ 2.84 — meaningful gap+2.47
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
TJ WaldburgerAdlan Amagov
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
TJ Waldburger(8 fights)Adlan Amagov(2 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+18.6-18.6
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+112.0-112.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.60.6
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.2-1.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+1.1-1.1
TJ Waldburger
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights8
Adlan Amagov
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights2