Welterweight
3 Rounds
TJ Waldburger won · SUB R1
UFC Event·Friday, March 2, 2012·Sydney, New South Wales, Australia, Australia
Style matchupTJ Waldburger: WrestlervsJake Hecht: Wrestler
Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.
Model Prediction: TJ Waldburger wins(54.9%)
Actual result: TJ Waldburger wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jake Hecht is a KO finisher (100% of wins). TJ Waldburger has lost 75% of fights by KO.
- TJ Waldburger threatens submissions; Jake Hecht has lost 50% of fights by sub.
- Jake Hecht has 16pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Tale of the Tape
TJ Waldburger
Red Corner
VS
Jake Hecht
Blue Corner
-140
(58%)
Vegas Odds
+120
(45%)
38
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'11"
Height
6'0"
190.5 cm
Reach
185.42 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
TJ WaldburgerL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Mike Stumpf · Sep 11L
vs Brian Ebersole · Jun 12W
SUBvs Nick Catone · Dec 12L
KOvs Adlan Amagov · Oct 13L
KOvs Mike Pyle · Feb 14Jake Hecht
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Rich Attonito · Dec 11L
vs Sean Pierson · Jun 12Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
TJ WaldburgerMetricJake Hecht
2.02
Strikes / min
3.26
2.39
Strikes absorbed / min
2.76
40%
Strike defense
56%
3.03
TDs / 15 min
2.04
40%
Takedown defense
40%
4.80
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.37evenly matched on net striking+0.50
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
TJ WaldburgerJake Hecht
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
TJ Waldburger(8 fights)Jake Hecht(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-1.81.8
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+84.0-84.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.60.6
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.4-1.4
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+1.2-1.2
TJ Waldburger
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights8
Jake Hecht
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights3