Light Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Tim Boetsch won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, August 7, 2010·Oakland, California, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Tim Boetsch wins(57.0%)
Actual result: Tim Boetsch wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Tim Boetsch is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Todd Brown has lost 50% of fights by KO.
Tale of the Tape
Todd Brown
Red Corner
VS
Tim Boetsch
Blue Corner
+290
(26%)
Vegas Odds
-350
(78%)
49
Age
45
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'11"
Height
6'0"
188 cm
Reach
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Todd Brown
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Igor Pokrajac · Mar 11Tim BoetschL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Rafael Natal · Nov 16L
SUBvs Jacare Souza · Feb 17W
KOvs Johny Hendricks · Jun 17L
SUBvs Antonio Carlos Junior · Apr 18L
vs Omari Akhmedov · Mar 19Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Todd BrownMetricTim Boetsch
2.15
Strikes / min
2.93
3.85
Strikes absorbed / min
2.90
48%
Strike defense
57%
0.00
TDs / 15 min
1.45
50%
Takedown defense
59%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.80
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.70Δ 1.73 — meaningful gap+0.03
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Todd BrownTim Boetsch
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Todd Brown(2 fights)Tim Boetsch(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
0.00.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Todd Brown
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach—
Fights2
Tim Boetsch
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights20