Catch Weight
3 Rounds
Myktybek Orolbai won · SUB R1
UFC Event·Saturday, June 21, 2025·Baku, Azerbaijan, Azerbaijan
Style matchupTofiq Musayev: WrestlervsMyktybek Orolbai: Wrestler
Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.
Model Prediction: Tofiq Musayev wins(57.2%)
Actual result: Myktybek Orolbai wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Myktybek Orolbai has a 13cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Tofiq Musayev
Red Corner
VS
Myktybek Orolbai
Blue Corner
+156
(39%)
Vegas Odds
-186
(65%)
36
Age
28
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
5'10"
175.26 cm
Reach
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Tofiq Musayev
oldest →latest
W
vs Ignacio Bahamondes · Mar 26Myktybek OrolbaiW2 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Uros Medic · Nov 23W
vs Elves Brener · May 24L
vs Mateusz Rebecki · Oct 24W
KOvs Jack Hermansson · Nov 25W
vs Chris Curtis · Mar 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Tofiq MusayevMetricMyktybek Orolbai
1.84
Strikes / min
2.78
1.74
Strikes absorbed / min
2.70
50%
Strike defense
51%
2.30
TDs / 15 min
8.77
50%
Takedown defense
40%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.10evenly matched on net striking+0.08
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Tofiq MusayevMyktybek Orolbai
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Tofiq Musayev(2 fights)Myktybek Orolbai(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-24.524.5
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+49.6-49.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+49.1-49.1
Tofiq Musayev
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights2
Myktybek Orolbai
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights6