Middleweight
3 Rounds
Tom Breese won · KO/TKO
UFC Event·Saturday, October 10, 2020·Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates, United Arab Emirates
Style matchupTom Breese: Well-roundedvsKB Bhullar: Pressure fighter
The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.
Model Prediction: Tom Breese wins(52.2%)
Actual result: Tom Breese wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Tom Breese is a KO finisher (80% of wins). KB Bhullar has lost 50% of fights by KO.
- Tom Breese has 15pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Tom Breese has 70pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Tom Breese (53.5%).
- KB Bhullar has a 13cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Tom Breese
Red Corner
VS
KB Bhullar
Blue Corner
-275
(73%)
Vegas Odds
+210
(32%)
34
Age
34
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
6'3"
Height
6'4"
185.42 cm
Reach
198.12 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Tom BreeseL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Keita Nakamura · Feb 16L
vs Sean Strickland · Jun 16W
KOvs Daniel Kelly · May 18L
KOvs Brendan Allen · Feb 20L
SUBvs Omari Akhmedov · Jan 21KB Bhullar
oldest →latest
L
vs Andreas Michailidis · May 21Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Tom BreeseMetricKB Bhullar
3.34
Strikes / min
4.31
2.81
Strikes absorbed / min
5.39
60%
Strike defense
45%
0.00
TDs / 15 min
0.00
70%
Takedown defense
0%
1.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.53Δ 1.61 — meaningful gap-1.08
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Tom BreeseKB Bhullar
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Tom Breese(8 fights)KB Bhullar(2 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+35.2-35.2
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.60.6
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-48.648.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-50.050.0
Tom Breese
StanceSouthpaw
Height75.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights8
KB Bhullar
StanceSwitch
Height76.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights2