Middleweight
3 Rounds
Joe Doerksen won · SUB R2
UFC Event·Saturday, May 8, 2010·Montreal, Quebec, Canada, Canada
Style matchupTom Lawlor: WrestlervsJoe Doerksen: Wrestler
Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.
Model Prediction: Joe Doerksen wins(51.3%)
Actual result: Joe Doerksen wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Joe Doerksen threatens submissions; Tom Lawlor has lost 50% of fights by sub.
- Tom Lawlor has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Tom Lawlor has 24pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Tom Lawlor (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Tom Lawlor
Red Corner
VS
Joe Doerksen
Blue Corner
-600
(86%)
Vegas Odds
+450
(18%)
43
Age
48
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
6'0"
187.96 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Tom Lawlor
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Jason MacDonald · May 12L
vs Francis Carmont · Nov 12W
SUBvs Michael Kuiper · Apr 13W
KOvs Gian Villante · Jul 15L
vs Corey Anderson · Mar 16Joe DoerksenL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs CB Dollaway · Sep 10L
vs Dan Miller · Dec 10Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Tom LawlorMetricJoe Doerksen
2.50
Strikes / min
1.43
2.41
Strikes absorbed / min
2.79
60%
Strike defense
50%
2.46
TDs / 15 min
2.02
57%
Takedown defense
33%
1.40
Sub atts / 15 min
2.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.09Δ 1.45 — meaningful gap-1.36
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Tom LawlorJoe Doerksen
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Tom Lawlor(8 fights)Joe Doerksen(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
0.00.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Tom Lawlor
StanceSouthpaw
Height72.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights8
Joe Doerksen
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights3