Featherweight
3 Rounds
Renato Moicano won · SUB R2
TN
RM
Tom NiinimakivsRenato Moicano
UFC Event · Saturday, December 20, 2014Barueri, Sao Paulo, Brazil, Brazil
Style matchupTom Niinimaki: WrestlervsRenato Moicano: Pressure fighter
The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.
Model Prediction: Renato Moicano wins(52.2%)
Actual result: Renato Moicano wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Renato Moicano threatens submissions; Tom Niinimaki has lost 100% of fights by sub.
- Renato Moicano has 31pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Tom Niinimaki
Red Corner
VS
Renato Moicano
Blue Corner
+120
(45%)
Vegas Odds
-130
(57%)
43
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
5'11"
175.26 cm
Reach
182.88 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Tom NiinimakiL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Rani Yahya · Nov 13L
SUBvs Niklas Backstrom · May 14L
SUBvs Chas Skelly · Aug 14Renato MoicanoL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Drew Dober · Feb 24W
KOvs Jalin Turner · Apr 24W
KOvs Benoit Saint Denis · Sep 24L
SUBvs Islam Makhachev · Jan 25L
vs Beneil Dariush · Jun 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Tom NiinimakiMetricRenato Moicano
1.91
Strikes / min
4.10
2.31
Strikes absorbed / min
3.55
58%
Strike defense
59%
2.97
TDs / 15 min
1.68
33%
Takedown defense
64%
0.50
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.40evenly matched on net striking+0.55
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Tom NiinimakiRenato Moicano
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Tom Niinimaki(4 fights)Renato Moicano(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-15.615.6
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.60.6
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-49.249.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.649.6
Tom Niinimaki
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights4
Renato Moicano
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights20