Lightweight
3 Rounds
Tom Nolan won · U-DEC R3
TN
VB
Tom NolanvsViacheslav Borshchev
UFC Event · Saturday, February 8, 2025Sydney, New South Wales, Australia, Australia
Style matchupTom Nolan: Pressure fightervsViacheslav Borshchev: Pressure fighter
Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.
Model Prediction: Tom Nolan wins(60.8%)
Actual result: Tom Nolan wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Tom Nolan enters on a 3-fight win streak.
- Tom Nolan has 28pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Tom Nolan (53.5%).
- Tom Nolan has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Tom Nolan
Red Corner
VS
Viacheslav Borshchev
Blue Corner
-102
(50%)
Vegas Odds
-116
(54%)
26
Age
34
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
6'3"
Height
5'11"
185.42 cm
Reach
175.26 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Tom NolanW3 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Nikolas Motta · Jan 24W
KOvs Victor Martinez · May 24W
vs Alex Reyes · Aug 24W
SUBvs Charlie Campbell · Sep 25Viacheslav BorshchevL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Maheshate · May 23L
SUBvs Chase Hooper · May 24W
vs James Llontop · Aug 24L
SUBvs Terrance McKinney · Jun 25L
vs Matheus Camilo · Nov 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Tom NolanMetricViacheslav Borshchev
5.87
Strikes / min
5.10
4.73
Strikes absorbed / min
4.46
48%
Strike defense
57%
0.74
TDs / 15 min
0.00
71%
Takedown defense
43%
1.90
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.14evenly matched on net striking+0.64
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Tom NolanViacheslav Borshchev
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Tom Nolan(5 fights)Viacheslav Borshchev(9 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+15.6-15.6
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+7.0-7.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Tom Nolan
StanceSouthpaw
Height75.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights5
Viacheslav Borshchev
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights9