Middleweight
3 Rounds
Brad Tavares won · S-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, September 29, 2012·Nottingham, England, United Kingdom, United Kingdom
Style matchupTom Watson: Pressure fightervsBrad Tavares: Well-rounded
The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.
Model Prediction: Brad Tavares wins(51.4%)
Actual result: Brad Tavares wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Tom Watson is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Brad Tavares has lost 50% of fights by KO.
- Brad Tavares has 37pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Tom Watson
Red Corner
VS
Brad Tavares
Blue Corner
+150
(40%)
Vegas Odds
-160
(62%)
43
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'1"
Height
6'1"
185.42 cm
Reach
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Tom WatsonL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Thales Leites · Aug 13L
vs Nick Catone · Feb 14W
vs Sam Alvey · Aug 14L
vs Rafael Natal · Jan 15L
vs Chris Camozzi · Aug 15Brad TavaresL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Gregory Rodrigues · Feb 24L
vs JunYong Park · Oct 24W
vs Gerald Meerschaert · Apr 25L
KOvs Robert Bryczek · Sep 25L
vs Eryk Anders · Mar 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Tom WatsonMetricBrad Tavares
4.01
Strikes / min
3.41
4.41
Strikes absorbed / min
3.32
50%
Strike defense
54%
0.15
TDs / 15 min
0.70
43%
Takedown defense
80%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.40evenly matched on net striking+0.09
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Tom WatsonBrad Tavares
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Tom Watson(7 fights)Brad Tavares(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-31.731.7
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.50.5
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+48.9-48.9
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+49.8-49.8
Tom Watson
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights7
Brad Tavares
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights28