Middleweight
3 Rounds
Tom Watson won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Saturday, February 16, 2013·London, England, United Kingdom, United Kingdom
Style matchupTom Watson: Pressure fightervsStanislav Nedkov: Wrestler
The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.
Model Prediction: Tom Watson wins(53.6%)
Actual result: Tom Watson wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Tom Watson is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Stanislav Nedkov has lost 50% of fights by KO.
- Tom Watson has 43pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Tom Watson
Red Corner
VS
Stanislav Nedkov
Blue Corner
-110
(52%)
Vegas Odds
+100
(50%)
43
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'1"
Height
5'11"
185.42 cm
Reach
180.34 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Tom WatsonL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Thales Leites · Aug 13L
vs Nick Catone · Feb 14W
vs Sam Alvey · Aug 14L
vs Rafael Natal · Jan 15L
vs Chris Camozzi · Aug 15Stanislav Nedkov
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Luiz Cane · Aug 11L
SUBvs Nikita Krylov · Jan 15Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Tom WatsonMetricStanislav Nedkov
4.01
Strikes / min
3.33
4.41
Strikes absorbed / min
5.39
50%
Strike defense
43%
0.15
TDs / 15 min
2.77
43%
Takedown defense
0%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.40Δ 1.66 — meaningful gap-2.06
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Tom WatsonStanislav Nedkov
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Tom Watson(7 fights)Stanislav Nedkov(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-32.832.8
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-399.0399.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.91.9
RedStriker ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Tom Watson
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights7
Stanislav Nedkov
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights3