Lightweight
3 Rounds
Tony Ferguson won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Saturday, October 6, 2018·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupTony Ferguson: Pressure fightervsAnthony Pettis: Well-rounded
The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.
Model Prediction: Anthony Pettis wins(52.2%)
Actual result: Tony Ferguson wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Tony Ferguson enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Tony Ferguson has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Tony Ferguson
Red Corner
VS
Anthony Pettis
Blue Corner
-355
(78%)
Vegas Odds
+295
(25%)
42
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'11"
Height
5'10"
193.04 cm
Reach
182.88 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Tony FergusonL5 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Michael Chandler · May 22L
SUBvs Nate Diaz · Sep 22L
SUBvs King Green · Jul 23L
vs Paddy Pimblett · Dec 23L
SUBvs Michael Chiesa · Aug 24Anthony PettisW2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Stephen Thompson · Mar 19L
vs Nate Diaz · Aug 19L
SUBvs Diego Ferreira · Jan 20W
vs Donald Cerrone · May 20W
vs Alex Morono · Dec 20Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Tony FergusonMetricAnthony Pettis
4.91
Strikes / min
3.05
4.37
Strikes absorbed / min
3.44
55%
Strike defense
54%
0.39
TDs / 15 min
0.61
66%
Takedown defense
60%
0.90
Sub atts / 15 min
1.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.54evenly matched on net striking-0.39
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Tony FergusonAnthony Pettis
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Tony Ferguson(10 fights)Anthony Pettis(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+131.5-131.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+273.0-273.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.7-0.7
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.6-0.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Tony Ferguson
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights24
Anthony Pettis
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights20