Lightweight
3 Rounds
Beneil Dariush won · U-DEC
UFC Event·Saturday, May 15, 2021·Houston, Texas, USA, USA
Style matchupTony Ferguson: Pressure fightervsBeneil Dariush: Wrestler
The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.
Model Prediction: Beneil Dariush wins(60.6%)
Actual result: Beneil Dariush wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Tony Ferguson enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Beneil Dariush has 16pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Beneil Dariush (53.5%).
- Tony Ferguson has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Tony Ferguson
Red Corner
VS
Beneil Dariush
Blue Corner
+127
(44%)
Vegas Odds
-147
(60%)
42
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'11"
Height
5'10"
193.04 cm
Reach
182.88 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Tony FergusonL5 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Michael Chandler · May 22L
SUBvs Nate Diaz · Sep 22L
SUBvs King Green · Jul 23L
vs Paddy Pimblett · Dec 23L
SUBvs Michael Chiesa · Aug 24Beneil Dariush
oldest →latest
W
vs Mateusz Gamrot · Oct 22L
KOvs Charles Oliveira · Jun 23L
KOvs Arman Tsarukyan · Dec 23W
vs Renato Moicano · Jun 25L
KOvs Benoit Saint Denis · Nov 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Tony FergusonMetricBeneil Dariush
4.91
Strikes / min
3.74
4.37
Strikes absorbed / min
2.63
55%
Strike defense
57%
0.39
TDs / 15 min
2.21
66%
Takedown defense
82%
0.90
Sub atts / 15 min
0.80
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.54evenly matched on net striking+1.11
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Tony FergusonBeneil Dariush
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Tony Ferguson(10 fights)Beneil Dariush(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+12.4-12.4
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+56.0-56.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.61.6
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.7-0.7
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
Tony Ferguson
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights24
Beneil Dariush
StanceSouthpaw
Height70.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights24