Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Tony Gravely won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, January 22, 2022·Anaheim, California, USA, USA
Style matchupTony Gravely: WrestlervsSaimon Oliveira: Submission grappler
Wrestler wants to control on top; grappler wants to threaten subs from bottom. Cage position is critical.
Model Prediction: Tony Gravely wins(71.2%)
Actual result: Tony Gravely wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Saimon Oliveira enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Tony Gravely is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Saimon Oliveira has lost 50% of fights by KO.
- Tony Gravely has 16pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Tony Gravely
Red Corner
VS
Saimon Oliveira
Blue Corner
-260
(72%)
Vegas Odds
+210
(32%)
34
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'5"
Height
5'4"
175.26 cm
Reach
182.88 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Tony GravelyL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Anthony Birchak · Apr 21L
KOvs Nate Maness · Sep 21W
KOvs Johnny Munoz · Jun 22L
vs Javid Basharat · Sep 22L
vs Victor Henry · Mar 23Saimon OliveiraL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Daniel Marcos · Jan 23L
KOvs David Martinez · Mar 25L
SUBvs Luan Lacerda · Oct 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Tony GravelyMetricSaimon Oliveira
3.82
Strikes / min
2.62
4.47
Strikes absorbed / min
3.87
44%
Strike defense
45%
5.40
TDs / 15 min
1.18
52%
Takedown defense
36%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
1.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.65evenly matched on net striking-1.25
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Tony GravelySaimon Oliveira
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Tony Gravely(8 fights)Saimon Oliveira(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+1.3-1.3
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-49.649.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.149.1
Tony Gravely
StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights8
Saimon Oliveira
StanceOrthodox
Height64.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights4