Middleweight
3 Rounds
Krzysztof Jotko won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, October 4, 2014·Stockholm, Sweden, Sweden
Model Prediction: Krzysztof Jotko wins(50.2%)
Actual result: Krzysztof Jotko wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Tor Troeng threatens submissions; Krzysztof Jotko has lost 33% of fights by sub.
- Krzysztof Jotko has 25pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Krzysztof Jotko has 16pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Krzysztof Jotko (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Tor Troeng
Red Corner
VS
Krzysztof Jotko
Blue Corner
+130
(43%)
Vegas Odds
-140
(58%)
43
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
6'2"
Height
6'1"
195.58 cm
Reach
195.58 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Tor TroengL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Adam Cella · Apr 13L
vs Rafael Natal · Sep 13L
vs Trevor Smith · Jul 14Krzysztof Jotko
oldest →latest
W
vs Eryk Anders · May 20L
vs Sean Strickland · May 21W
vs Misha Cirkunov · Oct 21W
vs Gerald Meerschaert · Apr 22L
SUBvs Brendan Allen · Oct 22Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Tor TroengMetricKrzysztof Jotko
1.16
Strikes / min
2.98
3.26
Strikes absorbed / min
2.23
32%
Strike defense
57%
0.62
TDs / 15 min
1.33
66%
Takedown defense
82%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-2.10Δ 2.85 — meaningful gap+0.75
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Tor TroengKrzysztof Jotko
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Tor Troeng(4 fights)Krzysztof Jotko(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-17.317.3
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-49.049.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.40.4
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
Tor Troeng
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach—
Fights4
Krzysztof Jotko
StanceSouthpaw
Height73.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights16