Middleweight
3 Rounds
Trevor Smith won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, July 19, 2014·Dublin, Leinster, Ireland, Ireland
Model Prediction: Trevor Smith wins(55.5%)
Actual result: Trevor Smith wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Trevor Smith enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Trevor Smith has 19pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Tale of the Tape
Tor Troeng
Red Corner
VS
Trevor Smith
Blue Corner
-155
(61%)
Vegas Odds
+145
(41%)
43
Age
45
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'2"
Height
6'3"
195.58 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Tor TroengL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Adam Cella · Apr 13L
vs Rafael Natal · Sep 13L
vs Krzysztof Jotko · Oct 14Trevor SmithL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Andrew Sanchez · Dec 16W
vs Chris Camozzi · May 17L
vs Elias Theodorou · May 18L
vs Zak Cummings · Dec 18L
KOvs Makhmud Muradov · Dec 19Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Tor TroengMetricTrevor Smith
1.16
Strikes / min
3.29
3.26
Strikes absorbed / min
3.31
32%
Strike defense
51%
0.62
TDs / 15 min
1.70
66%
Takedown defense
60%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.70
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-2.10Δ 2.08 — meaningful gap-0.02
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Tor TroengTrevor Smith
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Tor Troeng(4 fights)Trevor Smith(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+14.7-14.7
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+219.0-219.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-3.13.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
Tor Troeng
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach—
Fights4
Trevor Smith
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights12