Bantamweight
5 Rounds
🏆 Title Bout
Rinya Nakamura won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, February 4, 2023·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupToshiomi Kazama: Submission grapplervsRinya Nakamura: Wrestler
Wrestler wants to control on top; grappler wants to threaten subs from bottom. Cage position is critical.
Model Prediction: Rinya Nakamura wins(52.8%)
Actual result: Rinya Nakamura wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Rinya Nakamura is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Toshiomi Kazama has lost 100% of fights by KO.
- Rinya Nakamura has 25pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Rinya Nakamura has 34pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Rinya Nakamura (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Toshiomi Kazama
Red Corner
VS
Rinya Nakamura
Blue Corner
+450
(18%)
Vegas Odds
-600
(86%)
29
Age
31
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'7"
Height
5'7"
175.26 cm
Reach
172.72 cm
Recent Form
Last 4 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Toshiomi Kazama
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Garrett Armfield · Aug 23W
SUBvs Charalampos Grigoriou · Aug 24L
KOvs Elijah Smith · Aug 25Rinya Nakamura
oldest →latest
W
vs Fernie Garcia · Aug 23W
vs Carlos Vera · Feb 24L
vs Muin Gafurov · Jan 25W
KOvs Nathan Fletcher · Aug 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Toshiomi KazamaMetricRinya Nakamura
1.49
Strikes / min
3.27
4.56
Strikes absorbed / min
1.72
38%
Strike defense
63%
1.94
TDs / 15 min
2.58
66%
Takedown defense
100%
1.00
Sub atts / 15 min
1.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-3.07Δ 4.62 — meaningful gap+1.55
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Toshiomi KazamaRinya Nakamura
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Toshiomi Kazama(4 fights)Rinya Nakamura(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
0.00.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Toshiomi Kazama
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights4
Rinya Nakamura
StanceSouthpaw
Height67.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights5