Women's Flyweight
3 Rounds
Tracy Cortez won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, May 7, 2022·Phoenix, Arizona, USA, USA
Style matchupTracy Cortez: WrestlervsMelissa Gatto: Well-rounded
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Tracy Cortez wins(57.4%)
Actual result: Tracy Cortez wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Melissa Gatto has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Tracy Cortez
Red Corner
VS
Melissa Gatto
Blue Corner
-125
(56%)
Vegas Odds
+105
(49%)
32
Age
30
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'5"
Height
5'5"
165.1 cm
Reach
175.26 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Tracy Cortez
oldest →latest
W
vs Justine Kish · Apr 21W
vs Jasmine Jasudavicius · Sep 23L
vs Rose Namajunas · Jul 24W
vs Viviane Araujo · Jun 25L
SUBvs Erin Blanchfield · Nov 25Melissa Gatto
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Victoria Leonardo · Aug 21W
KOvs Sijara Eubanks · Dec 21L
vs Ariane da Silva · Jul 23W
KOvs Tamires Vidal · May 24Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Tracy CortezMetricMelissa Gatto
3.86
Strikes / min
3.47
3.01
Strikes absorbed / min
2.67
57%
Strike defense
54%
2.15
TDs / 15 min
1.77
59%
Takedown defense
58%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.85evenly matched on net striking+0.80
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Tracy CortezMelissa Gatto
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Tracy Cortez(8 fights)Melissa Gatto(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+13.9-13.9
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+245.0-245.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
Tracy Cortez
StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach65.0"
Fights8
Melissa Gatto
StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights6