Middleweight
3 Rounds
Marco Tulio won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Saturday, April 12, 2025·Miami, Florida, USA, USA
Style matchupTresean Gore: Submission grapplervsMarco Tulio: Elusive striker
The grappler must close distance and chain wrestling. The elusive striker keeps space and picks shots.
Model Prediction: Marco Tulio wins(54.0%)
Actual result: Marco Tulio wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Marco Tulio is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Tresean Gore has lost 50% of fights by KO.
- Marco Tulio has 16pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Tresean Gore has 83pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Tresean Gore (52.9%).
Tale of the Tape
Tresean Gore
Red Corner
VS
Marco Tulio
Blue Corner
+410
(20%)
Vegas Odds
-550
(85%)
31
Age
31
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
6'0"
190.5 cm
Reach
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Tresean Gore
oldest →latest
L
vs Bryan Battle · Feb 22L
KOvs Cody Brundage · Jul 22W
SUBvs Josh Fremd · Oct 22W
SUBvs Antonio Trocoli · Nov 24L
vs Rodolfo Vieira · Aug 25Marco Tulio
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Ihor Potieria · Jan 25L
KOvs Christian Leroy Duncan · Nov 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Tresean GoreMetricMarco Tulio
3.41
Strikes / min
6.02
7.00
Strikes absorbed / min
2.97
40%
Strike defense
56%
1.91
TDs / 15 min
1.05
83%
Takedown defense
0%
1.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-3.59Δ 6.64 — meaningful gap+3.05
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Tresean GoreMarco Tulio
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Tresean Gore(6 fights)Marco Tulio(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-13.813.8
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+63.0-63.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.5-0.5
Tresean Gore
StanceSwitch
Height72.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights7
Marco Tulio
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights3