Lightweight
3 Rounds
Yanal Ashmouz won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, September 7, 2024·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupTrevor Peek: Pressure fightervsYanal Ashmouz: Wrestler
The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.
Model Prediction: Yanal Ashmouz wins(57.6%)
Actual result: Yanal Ashmouz wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stance matchup historically favors Trevor Peek (52.9%).
Tale of the Tape
Trevor Peek
Red Corner
VS
Yanal Ashmouz
Blue Corner
+105
(49%)
Vegas Odds
-125
(56%)
31
Age
31
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
5'9"
177.8 cm
Reach
175.26 cm
Recent Form
Last 4 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Trevor Peek
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Erick Gonzalez · Feb 23L
vs Chepe Mariscal · Jun 23W
vs Mohammad Yahya · Oct 23L
vs Charlie Campbell · Apr 24Yanal AshmouzL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Sam Patterson · Mar 23L
vs Chris Duncan · Jul 23L
vs Quillan Salkilld · Jun 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Trevor PeekMetricYanal Ashmouz
4.39
Strikes / min
2.88
3.88
Strikes absorbed / min
4.78
43%
Strike defense
50%
1.45
TDs / 15 min
3.24
52%
Takedown defense
64%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.51Δ 2.41 — meaningful gap-1.90
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Trevor PeekYanal Ashmouz
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Trevor Peek(5 fights)Yanal Ashmouz(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-2.52.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-259.0259.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Trevor Peek
StanceSwitch
Height69.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights5
Yanal Ashmouz
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights4