Middleweight
3 Rounds
Trevor Smith won · S-DEC R3
UFC Event·Wednesday, January 15, 2014·Duluth, Georgia, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Trevor Smith wins(65.0%)
Actual result: Trevor Smith wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Trevor Smith enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Brian Houston has 27pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Trevor Smith
Red Corner
VS
Brian Houston
Blue Corner
-130
(57%)
Vegas Odds
+120
(45%)
45
Age
45
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'3"
Height
6'2"
190.5 cm
Reach
198.12 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Trevor SmithL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Andrew Sanchez · Dec 16W
vs Chris Camozzi · May 17L
vs Elias Theodorou · May 18L
vs Zak Cummings · Dec 18L
KOvs Makhmud Muradov · Dec 19Brian Houston
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Derek Brunson · Nov 13Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Trevor SmithMetricBrian Houston
3.29
Strikes / min
1.90
3.31
Strikes absorbed / min
3.67
51%
Strike defense
53%
1.70
TDs / 15 min
0.95
60%
Takedown defense
87%
0.70
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.02Δ 1.75 — meaningful gap-1.77
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Trevor SmithBrian Houston
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Trevor Smith(10 fights)Brian Houston(2 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+1.9-1.9
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+102.0-102.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Trevor Smith
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights12
Brian Houston
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach—
Fights2