Lightweight
3 Rounds
Trey Ogden won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, September 17, 2022·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupTrey Ogden: Well-roundedvsDaniel Zellhuber: Pressure fighter
The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.
Model Prediction: Trey Ogden wins(54.2%)
Actual result: Trey Ogden wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Daniel Zellhuber enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Trey Ogden has 19pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Daniel Zellhuber (52.9%).
- Daniel Zellhuber has a 13cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Trey Ogden
Red Corner
VS
Daniel Zellhuber
Blue Corner
+330
(23%)
Vegas Odds
-410
(80%)
36
Age
26
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
5'11"
Height
6'1"
182.88 cm
Reach
195.58 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Trey Ogden
oldest →latest
L
vs Jordan Leavitt · Apr 22L
vs Ignacio Bahamondes · Apr 23W
vs Kurt Holobaugh · Mar 24W
vs Loik Radzhabov · Jul 24L
vs Thiago Moises · Jan 25Daniel ZellhuberL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Christos Giagos · Sep 23W
vs Francisco Prado · Feb 24L
vs Esteban Ribovics · Sep 24L
vs Michael Johnson · Jul 25L
KOvs King Green · Feb 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Trey OgdenMetricDaniel Zellhuber
3.20
Strikes / min
5.45
3.49
Strikes absorbed / min
6.17
55%
Strike defense
54%
1.89
TDs / 15 min
0.14
100%
Takedown defense
81%
0.70
Sub atts / 15 min
0.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.29evenly matched on net striking-0.72
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Trey OgdenDaniel Zellhuber
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Trey Ogden(6 fights)Daniel Zellhuber(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-17.617.6
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.01.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-49.649.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.549.5
Trey Ogden
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights6
Daniel Zellhuber
StanceSwitch
Height73.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights7