Welterweight
3 Rounds
Tyron Woodley won · S-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, January 31, 2015·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Tyron Woodley wins(52.9%)
Actual result: Tyron Woodley wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Tyron Woodley enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Tyron Woodley has 27pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Kelvin Gastelum (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Tyron Woodley
Red Corner
VS
Kelvin Gastelum
Blue Corner
-185
(65%)
Vegas Odds
+170
(37%)
44
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'9"
Height
5'9"
187.96 cm
Reach
180.34 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Tyron WoodleyL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Darren Till · Sep 18L
vs Kamaru Usman · Mar 19L
vs Gilbert Burns · May 20L
KOvs Colby Covington · Sep 20L
SUBvs Vicente Luque · Mar 21Kelvin Gastelum
oldest →latest
W
vs Chris Curtis · Apr 23L
SUBvs Sean Brady · Dec 23W
vs Daniel Rodriguez · Jun 24L
vs Joe Pyfer · Jun 25W
vs Dustin Stoltzfus · Sep 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Tyron WoodleyMetricKelvin Gastelum
2.36
Strikes / min
3.65
2.76
Strikes absorbed / min
3.52
54%
Strike defense
57%
1.06
TDs / 15 min
1.04
87%
Takedown defense
60%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.40evenly matched on net striking+0.13
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Tyron WoodleyKelvin Gastelum
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Tyron Woodley(10 fights)Kelvin Gastelum(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-48.148.1
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+84.0-84.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.70.7
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
Tyron Woodley
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights15
Kelvin Gastelum
StanceSouthpaw
Height69.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights24