Welterweight
5 Rounds
🏆 Title Bout
Tyron Woodley won · M-DEC R5
UFC Event·Saturday, March 4, 2017·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Stephen Thompson wins(55.6%)
Actual result: Tyron Woodley wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Tyron Woodley enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Stephen Thompson enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Tyron Woodley has 24pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Tyron Woodley
Red Corner
VS
Stephen Thompson
Blue Corner
+120
(45%)
Vegas Odds
-140
(58%)
44
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
6'0"
187.96 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Tyron WoodleyL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Darren Till · Sep 18L
vs Kamaru Usman · Mar 19L
vs Gilbert Burns · May 20L
KOvs Colby Covington · Sep 20L
SUBvs Vicente Luque · Mar 21Stephen ThompsonL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Belal Muhammad · Dec 21W
KOvs Kevin Holland · Dec 22L
SUBvs Shavkat Rakhmonov · Dec 23L
KOvs Joaquin Buckley · Oct 24L
vs Gabriel Bonfim · Jul 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Tyron WoodleyMetricStephen Thompson
2.36
Strikes / min
4.05
2.76
Strikes absorbed / min
3.00
54%
Strike defense
54%
1.06
TDs / 15 min
0.23
87%
Takedown defense
63%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.40Δ 1.45 — meaningful gap+1.05
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Tyron WoodleyStephen Thompson
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Tyron Woodley(10 fights)Stephen Thompson(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-38.238.2
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-42.042.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.80.8
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
Tyron Woodley
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights15
Stephen Thompson
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights21