Lightweight
3 Rounds
Evan Dunham won · S-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, June 12, 2010·Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada, Canada
Style matchupTyson Griffin: Elusive strikervsEvan Dunham: Submission grappler
The grappler must close distance and chain wrestling. The elusive striker keeps space and picks shots.
Model Prediction: Evan Dunham wins(58.4%)
Actual result: Evan Dunham wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Evan Dunham enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Evan Dunham has 20pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Evan Dunham (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Tyson Griffin
Red Corner
VS
Evan Dunham
Blue Corner
-180
(64%)
Vegas Odds
+168
(37%)
42
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'6"
Height
5'10"
172.72 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Tyson Griffin
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Takanori Gomi · Aug 10L
vs Nik Lentz · Nov 10W
vs Manvel Gamburyan · Jun 11L
KOvs Bart Palaszewski · Oct 11Evan DunhamL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Joe Lauzon · Dec 15W
vs Rick Glenn · Sep 16L
KOvs Olivier Aubin-Mercier · Apr 18L
KOvs Francisco Trinaldo · Sep 18L
SUBvs Herbert Burns · Jun 20Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Tyson GriffinMetricEvan Dunham
3.71
Strikes / min
5.33
2.30
Strikes absorbed / min
3.54
65%
Strike defense
61%
1.87
TDs / 15 min
1.82
59%
Takedown defense
79%
0.90
Sub atts / 15 min
1.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.41evenly matched on net striking+1.79
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Tyson GriffinEvan Dunham
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Tyson Griffin(5 fights)Evan Dunham(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
0.00.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Tyson Griffin
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights5
Evan Dunham
StanceSouthpaw
Height70.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights17