Lightweight
3 Rounds
Nik Lentz won · S-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, November 20, 2010·Auburn Hills, Michigan, USA, USA
Style matchupTyson Griffin: Elusive strikervsNik Lentz: Wrestler
The wrestler must close distance through high-output striking. The elusive striker thrives in space.
Model Prediction: Nik Lentz wins(51.8%)
Actual result: Nik Lentz wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Nik Lentz enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Tyson Griffin has 15pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Tyson Griffin has 16pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Tyson Griffin
Red Corner
VS
Nik Lentz
Blue Corner
-230
(70%)
Vegas Odds
+190
(34%)
42
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'6"
Height
5'8"
172.72 cm
Reach
172.72 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Tyson Griffin
oldest →latest
L
vs Evan Dunham · Jun 10L
KOvs Takanori Gomi · Aug 10W
vs Manvel Gamburyan · Jun 11L
KOvs Bart Palaszewski · Oct 11Nik LentzL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Gray Maynard · Oct 18W
vs Scott Holtzman · Feb 19L
KOvs Charles Oliveira · May 19L
vs Arnold Allen · Jan 20L
vs Movsar Evloev · Jan 21Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Tyson GriffinMetricNik Lentz
3.71
Strikes / min
3.44
2.30
Strikes absorbed / min
3.25
65%
Strike defense
50%
1.87
TDs / 15 min
3.30
59%
Takedown defense
43%
0.90
Sub atts / 15 min
1.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.41Δ 1.22 — meaningful gap+0.19
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Tyson GriffinNik Lentz
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Tyson Griffin(5 fights)Nik Lentz(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-74.074.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+27.0-27.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-2.02.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.80.8
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.60.6
Tyson Griffin
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights5
Nik Lentz
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights22