Light Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Modestas Bukauskas won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, February 11, 2023·Perth, Western Australia, Australia, Australia
Model Prediction: Tyson Pedro wins(66.7%)
Actual result: Modestas Bukauskas wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Tyson Pedro is a KO finisher (67% of wins). Modestas Bukauskas has lost 80% of fights by KO.
- Modestas Bukauskas has 29pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Modestas Bukauskas (52.9%).
Tale of the Tape
Tyson Pedro
Red Corner
VS
Modestas Bukauskas
Blue Corner
-215
(68%)
Vegas Odds
+185
(35%)
34
Age
32
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
6'3"
Height
6'3"
200.66 cm
Reach
193.04 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Tyson Pedro
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Mauricio Rua · Dec 18W
KOvs Ike Villanueva · Apr 22W
KOvs Harry Hunsucker · Aug 22W
KOvs Anton Turkalj · Sep 23L
vs Vitor Petrino · Mar 24Modestas Bukauskas
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Marcin Prachnio · Jul 24W
KOvs Rafael Cerqueira · Feb 25W
vs Ion Cutelaba · May 25W
KOvs Paul Craig · Sep 25L
KOvs Nikita Krylov · Jan 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Tyson PedroMetricModestas Bukauskas
2.90
Strikes / min
3.24
2.39
Strikes absorbed / min
4.05
56%
Strike defense
50%
0.76
TDs / 15 min
0.26
50%
Takedown defense
79%
0.80
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.51Δ 1.32 — meaningful gap-0.81
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Tyson PedroModestas Bukauskas
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Tyson Pedro(10 fights)Modestas Bukauskas(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+58.9-58.9
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-350.0350.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.6-1.6
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.5-0.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
Tyson Pedro
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach79.0"
Fights11
Modestas Bukauskas
StanceSwitch
Height75.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights12