Flyweight
3 Rounds
Ulka Sasaki won
UFC Event·Sunday, May 8, 2016·Rotterdam, Zuid-Holland, Netherlands, Netherlands
Model Prediction: Ulka Sasaki wins(58.8%)
Actual result: Ulka Sasaki wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stance matchup historically favors Ulka Sasaki (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Ulka Sasaki
Red Corner
VS
Willie Gates
Blue Corner
-135
(57%)
Vegas Odds
+115
(47%)
26
Age
39
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
5'8"
180.34 cm
Reach
182.88 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Ulka Sasaki
oldest →latest
L
vs Wilson Reis · Feb 17W
vs Justin Scoggins · Jun 17L
vs Jussier Formiga · Sep 17W
vs Jenel Lausa · Jun 18L
vs Alexandre Pantoja · Nov 18Willie Gates
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs John Moraga · Dec 14W
KOvs Darrell Montague · Jul 15L
KOvs Dustin Ortiz · Aug 15Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Ulka SasakiMetricWillie Gates
—
Strikes / min
1.80
—
Strikes absorbed / min
4.28
—
Strike defense
38%
—
TDs / 15 min
0.00
—
Takedown defense
67%
—
Sub atts / 15 min
0.40
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Ulka SasakiWillie Gates
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Ulka Sasaki(9 fights)Willie Gates(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-1.21.2
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+49.0-49.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.50.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Ulka Sasaki
StanceSouthpaw
Height70.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights1
Willie Gates
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights4