Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Umar Nurmagomedov won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, March 2, 2024·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Umar Nurmagomedov wins(82.2%)
Actual result: Umar Nurmagomedov wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Umar Nurmagomedov has 25pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Umar Nurmagomedov has 38pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Umar Nurmagomedov
Red Corner
VS
Bekzat Almakhan
Blue Corner
-1350
(93%)
Vegas Odds
+800
(11%)
30
Age
28
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'8"
Height
5'7"
175.26 cm
Reach
172.72 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Umar NurmagomedovW2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Raoni Barcelos · Jan 23W
vs Cory Sandhagen · Aug 24L
vs Merab Dvalishvili · Jan 25W
vs Mario Bautista · Oct 25W
vs Deiveson Figueiredo · Jan 26Bekzat Almakhan
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Brad Katona · May 25L
vs Aleksandre Topuria · Nov 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Umar NurmagomedovMetricBekzat Almakhan
3.86
Strikes / min
1.61
1.86
Strikes absorbed / min
3.73
61%
Strike defense
36%
4.03
TDs / 15 min
0.00
79%
Takedown defense
41%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+2.00Δ 4.12 — meaningful gap-2.12
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Umar NurmagomedovBekzat Almakhan
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Umar Nurmagomedov(9 fights)Bekzat Almakhan(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+66.2-66.2
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.0-1.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-49.549.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.549.5
Umar Nurmagomedov
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights9
Bekzat Almakhan
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights3