Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
David Martinez enters on a 3-fight win streak. Recent Form Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Umar Nurmagomedov W2 streak
oldest → W
vs Bekzat Almakhan · Mar 24 W
vs Cory Sandhagen · Aug 24 L
vs Merab Dvalishvili · Jan 25 W
vs Mario Bautista · Oct 25 W
vs Deiveson Figueiredo · Jan 26 latest David Martinez W3 streak
oldest → W
KO vs Saimon Oliveira · Mar 25 latest Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.
Recent Elo Trajectory Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
1490 1508 1525 1543 1560 ← older most recent → Umar Nurmagomedov (9 fights) David Martinez (3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating — Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +66.6 | Blue -66.6
Recent Form — Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.2 | Blue +0.2
Striker Score — Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.0 | Blue -0.0
Grappler Score — Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.4 | Blue -0.4
Layoff — Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +35.0 | Blue -35.0
Method Projection Statistical projection based on each fighter's historical finish patterns and the opponent's vulnerability profile. Most likely: KO / TKO .
David Martinez wins by KO/TKO 33% of the time.
Umar Nurmagomedov wins by submission 25% of the time.
Both fighters frequently end fights early.