Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Umar Nurmagomedov won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, January 24, 2026·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupUmar Nurmagomedov: WrestlervsDeiveson Figueiredo: Submission grappler
Wrestler wants to control on top; grappler wants to threaten subs from bottom. Cage position is critical.
Model Prediction: Umar Nurmagomedov wins(71.8%)
Actual result: Umar Nurmagomedov wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Umar Nurmagomedov has 12pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Umar Nurmagomedov has 22pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Umar Nurmagomedov
Red Corner
VS
Deiveson Figueiredo
Blue Corner
-1500
(94%)
Vegas Odds
+870
(10%)
30
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'8"
Height
5'5"
175.26 cm
Reach
172.72 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Umar Nurmagomedov
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Raoni Barcelos · Jan 23W
vs Bekzat Almakhan · Mar 24W
vs Cory Sandhagen · Aug 24L
vs Merab Dvalishvili · Jan 25W
vs Mario Bautista · Oct 25Deiveson Figueiredo
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Cody Garbrandt · Apr 24W
vs Marlon Vera · Aug 24L
vs Petr Yan · Nov 24L
KOvs Cory Sandhagen · May 25W
vs Montel Jackson · Oct 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Umar NurmagomedovMetricDeiveson Figueiredo
3.86
Strikes / min
2.63
1.86
Strikes absorbed / min
3.47
61%
Strike defense
49%
4.03
TDs / 15 min
1.61
79%
Takedown defense
57%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
1.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+2.00Δ 2.84 — meaningful gap-0.84
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Umar NurmagomedovDeiveson Figueiredo
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Umar Nurmagomedov(9 fights)Deiveson Figueiredo(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-19.719.7
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-14.014.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
Umar Nurmagomedov
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights9
Deiveson Figueiredo
StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights19