Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Umar Nurmagomedov won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, January 14, 2023·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupUmar Nurmagomedov: WrestlervsRaoni Barcelos: Wrestler
Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.
Model Prediction: Umar Nurmagomedov wins(70.1%)
Actual result: Umar Nurmagomedov wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Raoni Barcelos enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Tale of the Tape
Umar Nurmagomedov
Red Corner
VS
Raoni Barcelos
Blue Corner
-1050
(91%)
Vegas Odds
+700
(13%)
30
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'8"
Height
5'7"
175.26 cm
Reach
170.18 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Umar NurmagomedovW2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Bekzat Almakhan · Mar 24W
vs Cory Sandhagen · Aug 24L
vs Merab Dvalishvili · Jan 25W
vs Mario Bautista · Oct 25W
vs Deiveson Figueiredo · Jan 26Raoni BarcelosW4 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Kyler Phillips · Aug 23W
SUBvs Cristian Quinonez · Feb 24W
vs Payton Talbott · Jan 25W
vs Cody Garbrandt · Jun 25W
vs Ricky Simon · Nov 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Umar NurmagomedovMetricRaoni Barcelos
3.86
Strikes / min
4.65
1.86
Strikes absorbed / min
4.24
61%
Strike defense
60%
4.03
TDs / 15 min
2.51
79%
Takedown defense
87%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.70
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+2.00Δ 1.59 — meaningful gap+0.41
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Umar NurmagomedovRaoni Barcelos
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Umar Nurmagomedov(9 fights)Raoni Barcelos(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-0.20.2
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+98.0-98.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.8-0.8
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-1.01.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Umar Nurmagomedov
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights9
Raoni Barcelos
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights14