Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Umar Nurmagomedov won · SUB
UFC Event·Wednesday, January 20, 2021·Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates, United Arab Emirates
Style matchupUmar Nurmagomedov: WrestlervsSergey Morozov: Wrestler
Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.
Model Prediction: Umar Nurmagomedov wins(71.8%)
Actual result: Umar Nurmagomedov wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Tale of the Tape
Umar Nurmagomedov
Red Corner
VS
Sergey Morozov
Blue Corner
-530
(84%)
Vegas Odds
+375
(21%)
30
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'8"
Height
5'6"
175.26 cm
Reach
170.18 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Umar NurmagomedovW2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Bekzat Almakhan · Mar 24W
vs Cory Sandhagen · Aug 24L
vs Merab Dvalishvili · Jan 25W
vs Mario Bautista · Oct 25W
vs Deiveson Figueiredo · Jan 26Sergey MorozovW2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Khalid Taha · Jul 21L
SUBvs Douglas Silva de Andrade · Feb 22W
vs Raulian Paiva · Jun 22W
vs Journey Newson · Dec 22Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Umar NurmagomedovMetricSergey Morozov
3.86
Strikes / min
3.01
1.86
Strikes absorbed / min
2.97
61%
Strike defense
61%
4.03
TDs / 15 min
3.63
79%
Takedown defense
68%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+2.00Δ 1.96 — meaningful gap+0.04
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Umar NurmagomedovSergey Morozov
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Umar Nurmagomedov(9 fights)Sergey Morozov(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
0.00.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Umar Nurmagomedov
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights9
Sergey Morozov
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights5