Light Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Tonight
Elo1506
Elo1533
Uran SatybaldievvsDustin JacobyUFC Prediction
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Guskov · Saturday, July 25, 2026Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
The model's pick for this fight is locked
Uran Satybaldiev vs Dustin Jacoby is on the undercard. Headliner picks are free — unlock the full card with a $9 monthly Fight Detective membership.
Unlock every pick — $9/monthScouting Report
- Dustin Jacoby enters on a 3-fight win streak.
- Dustin Jacoby has 13pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Tale of the Tape
Uran Satybaldiev
Dustin Jacoby
—
Vegas Odds
—
1506
1533
31
38
Orthodox
Orthodox
6'4"
6'3"
200.66 cm
193.04 cm
Recent Form
Uran Satybaldiev
oldest →
vs Martin Buday · Apr 25
SUBvs Diyar Nurgozhay · Aug 25
latestDustin Jacoby
oldest →
vs Alonzo Menifield · Dec 23
KOvs Dominick Reyes · Jun 24
KOvs Vitor Petrino · Dec 24
KOvs Bruno Lopes · May 25
KOvs Julius Walker · Feb 26
latestOutput & Defense Comparison
Uran SatybaldievMetricDustin Jacoby
2.14
Strikes / min
5.40
3.66
Strikes absorbed / min
3.92
44%
Strike defense
57%
0.00
TDs / 15 min
0.32
50%
Takedown defense
62%
1.70
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.
Recent Elo Trajectory
Uran SatybaldievDustin Jacoby
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Uran Satybaldiev
StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach79.0"
Fights2
Dustin Jacoby
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights16