Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Urijah Faber won · SUB R3
UFC Event·Saturday, July 5, 2014·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupUrijah Faber: Well-roundedvsAlex Caceres: Well-rounded
Well-rounded vs well-rounded. Usually decided by who imposes their gameplan first.
Model Prediction: Urijah Faber wins(54.5%)
Actual result: Urijah Faber wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Urijah Faber threatens submissions; Alex Caceres has lost 38% of fights by sub.
- Stance matchup historically favors Alex Caceres (53.5%).
- Alex Caceres has a 15cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Urijah Faber
Red Corner
VS
Alex Caceres
Blue Corner
-705
(88%)
Vegas Odds
+570
(15%)
47
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'6"
Height
5'10"
170.18 cm
Reach
185.42 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Urijah Faber
oldest →latest
L
vs Dominick Cruz · Jun 16L
vs Jimmie Rivera · Sep 16W
vs Brad Pickett · Dec 16W
KOvs Ricky Simon · Jul 19L
vs Peter Yan · Dec 19Alex CaceresL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Sodiq Yusuff · Mar 22W
KOvs Julian Erosa · Dec 22W
vs Daniel Pineda · Jun 23L
vs Giga Chikadze · Aug 23L
vs Sean Woodson · May 24Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Urijah FaberMetricAlex Caceres
2.65
Strikes / min
4.21
2.59
Strikes absorbed / min
3.09
64%
Strike defense
62%
1.54
TDs / 15 min
0.54
58%
Takedown defense
64%
0.80
Sub atts / 15 min
0.70
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.06Δ 1.06 — meaningful gap+1.12
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Urijah FaberAlex Caceres
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Urijah Faber(10 fights)Alex Caceres(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+17.1-17.1
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-7.07.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.40.4
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.9-0.9
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
Urijah Faber
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights18
Alex Caceres
StanceSouthpaw
Height70.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights29