Welterweight
5 Rounds
7 days away
Elo1540
Elo1521
Uros MedicvsDaniel RodriguezUFC Prediction
UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez · Saturday, August 1, 2026Belgrade, Serbia
Fight begins in
Style matchup
We select Daniel Rodriguez to win. Informational only—not a guarantee or betting advice.
No market line yet
Daniel Rodriguez
52.6% model estimate
Internal research signal — not a betting edge.
Uros Medic-285 (74.0%)
Daniel Rodriguez+245 (29.0%)
Scouting Report
- Uros Medic enters on a 3-fight win streak.
- Daniel Rodriguez enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Tale of the Tape
Uros Medic
Daniel Rodriguez
-285
Vegas Odds
+245
1540
1521
33
39
Southpaw
Southpaw
6'1"
6'1"
180.34 cm
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Uros Medic
oldest →
KOvs Tim Means · Apr 24
KOvs Punahele Soriano · Jan 25
KOvs Gilbert Urbina · Aug 25
KOvs Muslim Salikhov · Nov 25
KOvs Geoff Neal · Feb 26
latestDaniel Rodriguez
oldest →
KOvs Ian Machado Garry · May 23
vs Kelvin Gastelum · Jun 24
vs Alex Morono · Oct 24
KOvs Santiago Ponzinibbio · May 25
vs Kevin Holland · Jul 25
latestOutput & Defense Comparison
Uros MedicMetricDaniel Rodriguez
5.59
Strikes / min
7.20
3.42
Strikes absorbed / min
5.40
56%
Strike defense
57%
0.34
TDs / 15 min
0.51
55%
Takedown defense
64%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.
Recent Elo Trajectory
Uros MedicDaniel Rodriguez
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Method Projection
KO / TKO65%
Historical win share: Uros Medic earned 100% of wins by KO/TKO.
Submission35%
Historical win share: Daniel Rodriguez earned 10% of wins by submission.
Decision0%
Both fighters frequently end fights early.
The Pick
Vegas favorite
Uros Medic
Odds
-285
Market-implied probability
No market line yet
Model pick shown for research — not a betting edge.
$100 bet returns
Uros Medic$135
Daniel Rodriguez (model pick · research)$345
No market line yet · model 53% (research) · vufc_v7_0_20260718_090638
🔒 Pick locked Jul 18, 2026, 9:29 AM UTC · never rewritten
Uros Medic
StanceSouthpaw
Height73.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights10
Daniel Rodriguez
StanceSouthpaw
Height73.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights14