Welterweight
3 Rounds
Myktybek Orolbai won · SUB R2
UFC Event·Saturday, November 18, 2023·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupUros Medic: StrikervsMyktybek Orolbai: Wrestler
Classic striker-vs-wrestler. The wrestler historically gets the edge if they can close distance and finish takedowns.
Model Prediction: Uros Medic wins(63.1%)
Actual result: Myktybek Orolbai wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Uros Medic enters on a 3-fight win streak.
- Myktybek Orolbai enters on a 3-fight win streak.
- Myktybek Orolbai threatens submissions; Uros Medic has lost 67% of fights by sub.
- Uros Medic has 15pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Striker vs grappler stylistic clash — fight location (standing vs ground) typically decides it.
- Stance matchup historically favors Uros Medic (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Uros Medic
Red Corner
VS
Myktybek Orolbai
Blue Corner
-225
(69%)
Vegas Odds
-110
(52%)
33
Age
28
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
6'1"
Height
5'10"
180.34 cm
Reach
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Uros MedicW3 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Tim Means · Apr 24L
KOvs Punahele Soriano · Jan 25W
KOvs Gilbert Urbina · Aug 25W
KOvs Muslim Salikhov · Nov 25W
KOvs Geoff Neal · Feb 26Myktybek OrolbaiW3 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Elves Brener · May 24L
vs Mateusz Rebecki · Oct 24W
SUBvs Tofiq Musayev · Jun 25W
KOvs Jack Hermansson · Nov 25W
vs Chris Curtis · Mar 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Uros MedicMetricMyktybek Orolbai
5.59
Strikes / min
2.78
3.42
Strikes absorbed / min
2.70
56%
Strike defense
51%
0.34
TDs / 15 min
8.77
55%
Takedown defense
40%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+2.17Δ 2.09 — meaningful gap+0.08
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Uros MedicMyktybek Orolbai
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Uros Medic(10 fights)Myktybek Orolbai(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+37.5-37.5
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.8-0.8
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-49.149.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.849.8
Uros Medic
StanceSouthpaw
Height73.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights10
Myktybek Orolbai
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights6